JAPAN NOW AT A CROSSROADS

Japan faces a snap election on Dec. 14 with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s “Abenomics” on trial. From the conventional economics perspective of growth measured in gross domestic product, we are told that Japan is “stagnating” with excessive debt.

Economists dispense their usual bromides: “open up the economy”; “join the Trans-Pacific Partnership”; “cut government spending”; “tax more”; “tax less”; “print money” — lurching between austerity and stimulus.

From a futurist’s perspective all this advice is nonsensical. Japan is still undergoing the now global transition of mature industrial economies from short-term material economic growth at whatever social and environmental costs — to a more mature, long-term, system-wide social development.

As other countries in Europe, North America and now China, India and Brazil face the same breakdown of GDP-growth policies, new national scorecards and metrics of company success are emerging.

 

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